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Advance of Southwest Monsoon: Key Updates and Weather Forecast

The Northern Limit of the Southwest Monsoon currently stretches across various regions, signaling a critical phase in India’s weather pattern. It passes through coordinates 20.5°N/60°E to 23°N/89.5°E, marking its presence in areas such as Navsari, Jalgaon, Amravati, Chandrapur, Bijapur, Sukma, Malkangiri, and Vizianagaram. Conditions are favorable for further advancement into parts of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Northwest Bay of Bengal, Gangetic West Bengal, and Bihar over the next 4-5 days.

Monsoon Advancements

The Northern Limit of Monsoon currently extends through various regions, including Navsari, Jalgaon, Amravati, and Chandrapur. Conditions are favorable for the further advance of the Southwest Monsoon into parts of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Northwest Bay of Bengal, Gangetic West Bengal, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Bihar over the next 4-5 days.

Weather Systems and Forecast

A cyclonic circulation over northeast Assam, along with an east-west trough from central Uttar Pradesh to east Meghalaya, is influencing widespread rainfall. Expect light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds in northeastern states and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim for the next week. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely in these areas, with extremely heavy rainfall in Meghalaya and Assam during mid-June.

Rainfall in Other Regions

Strong westerly winds along India’s west coast are causing widespread rainfall in Konkan & Goa, with scattered rainfall in Madhya Maharashtra & Marathwada. Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe, and other southern regions will also experience significant rainfall. Isolated heavy rainfall is expected in Marathwada, Konkan & Goa, Kerala & Mahe, and North Coastal Andhra Pradesh in mid-June.

Heat Wave Warnings

Extreme heat conditions persist, with maximum temperatures reaching 44-46°C in many parts of East Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Delhi, and East Madhya Pradesh. Severe heat wave conditions are expected in Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Jharkhand, and Uttarakhand from June 15-19. Heat waves may also affect Himachal Pradesh, Jammu Division, and parts of Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Warm nights are likely in northeast Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh.

Source: India Meteorological Department

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