The current weather systems include a cyclonic circulation over southeast Uttar Pradesh extending to middle and upper tropospheric levels. Another significant cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Rajasthan, extending to middle tropospheric levels and tilting southwestwards with height. Additionally, a trough runs from South Interior Karnataka to the Comorin area in lower tropospheric levels, contributing to localized weather patterns.
Weather Trough and Offshore Trough Details
The monsoon trough is currently positioned near its normal location at mean sea level and is expected to remain so for the next 4-5 days. An off-shore trough at mean sea level runs along the Maharashtra-Karnataka coasts, contributing to the weather systems in these regions.
Rainfall Forecast for Northwest, West, and Central India
Northwest India is expected to experience widespread light to moderate rainfall, with isolated heavy rainfall in regions like Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh over the next few days. West and Central India, particularly East Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra, are also likely to receive moderate rainfall, with isolated heavy rainfall on August 11th.
East, Northeast, and South Peninsular India Rainfall Projections
Eastern and Northeastern India will see widespread light to moderate rainfall, with isolated heavy rainfall in states like Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, and Bihar. In South Peninsular India, Tamil Nadu, Kerala & Mahe are forecasted to receive scattered rainfall with isolated heavy showers, particularly from August 11th to 14th.
Source: India Meteorological Department
