Weather Updates and Forecast: As of October 11, 2024, the Southwest Monsoon continues withdrawing, marking the seasonal transition. The current withdrawal line passes through key locations such as Nautanwa, Sultanpur, Panna, Narmadapuram, Khargone, Nandurbar, and Navsari, indicating the gradual retreat of monsoon activity from various parts of India. Conditions are favorable for further withdrawal from parts of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Bihar, and Jharkhand in the next 2-3 days.
Current Weather Systems: Weather Updates and Forecast
Several weather systems are influencing rainfall patterns across the country:
- Well Marked Low Pressure Area: A well-marked low-pressure area is located over the east-central Arabian Sea, off the coasts of Goa and Karnataka. It is expected to move northwestward and intensify into a depression over the central Arabian Sea in the coming days.
- Cyclonic Circulation Over Sri Lanka: A cyclonic circulation over Sri Lanka is now positioned over the Southwest Bay of Bengal off the Tamil Nadu coast. This system is expected to influence rainfall across Southern India.
- Fresh Cyclonic Circulation: A new cyclonic circulation will likely develop over the central parts of the south Bay of Bengal around October 12, impacting weather conditions in the region.
- Cyclonic Circulation Over Assam: A cyclonic circulation persists over east Assam, contributing to rainfall over Northeast India.
Weather Forecast and Warnings (Next 7 Days): Weather Updates and Forecast
South Peninsular India
- Light to moderate rainfall is expected over Lakshadweep, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Coastal Karnataka.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is predicted over Tamil Nadu and Kerala from October 11 to 15.
- Very heavy rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala, and Mahe on October 13-14.
Northeast India
- Fairly widespread rainfall is expected over Arunachal Pradesh and scattered rainfall across Assam and Meghalaya.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Arunachal Pradesh and Assam from October 11-12.
West India
- Konkan, Goa, and Gujarat will experience scattered rainfall, with isolated heavy rainfall over Konkan and Goa on October 11.
- Isolated very heavy rainfall is forecast for Konkan, Goa, and Gujarat from October 12-13.
Northwest, East, and Central India
- Scattered light rainfall is expected across Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim.
- No significant rainfall is predicted for Northwest, East, and Central India over the next week.
This comprehensive forecast highlights the transition in weather conditions across the country as the monsoon withdraws. Stay prepared for localized heavy rainfall in affected areas, and remain informed of any updates from meteorological authorities.
