As May progresses, the weather landscape in India undergoes dynamic shifts, marked by the advancing Southwest Monsoon, cyclonic circulations, and temperature fluctuations. Here’s a detailed overview of the forecast and warnings for the coming days:
Southwest Monsoon Advances: The Southwest Monsoon is poised to make its presence felt as it advances into the South Andaman Sea, parts of the Southeast Bay of Bengal, and the Nicobar Islands around May 19th, 2024. This advancement heralds the onset of the monsoon season, bringing with it the promise of relief from the scorching heat.
Cyclonic Influences and Rainfall Activity: Multiple cyclonic circulations exert their influence over different regions, resulting in varied rainfall patterns and weather phenomena:
- Isolated to scattered rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and squally winds is expected over Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, and other regions during specific periods.
- Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall is forecasted over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, and other areas over the next week.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, and other regions during specific periods, with the potential for localized flooding.
Western Disturbance in the Himalayan Region: A fresh Western Disturbance is anticipated to affect the Western Himalayan region from May 17th, bringing isolated rainfall activity to Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.
Temperature Trends: Temperature trends reveal a mix of conditions across different parts of India:
- The gradual rise in maximum temperatures is expected over Northwest and East India, as well as Central India, over the next few days.
- No significant change is forecasted for West India and the rest of the country, maintaining relatively stable conditions.
Heat Wave and Hot & Humid Weather Warnings: Certain regions are bracing for heat wave conditions and hot, humid weather:
- Heat wave conditions are anticipated in isolated pockets over Konkan, West Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Bihar, and other areas during specific periods, with some regions experiencing severe heat wave conditions.
- Hot and humid weather is expected over Konkan & Goa, Saurashtra & Kutch, and Gangetic West Bengal during certain periods, adding to the discomfort.
In conclusion, as we navigate through May 2024, staying informed about these weather systems, forecasts, and warnings becomes imperative for effective planning and preparedness. Whether it’s preparing for monsoon rains, monitoring temperature trends, or staying cautious during heat wave conditions, being proactive can help mitigate risks and ensure safety and well-being amidst the changing weather dynamics.
Source: India Meteorological Department
