Monsoon: As the Southwest Monsoon advances, its northern limit now stretches through 20.5°N/60°E, 20.5°N/63°E, 20.5°N/70°E, Veraval, Rajpipla, Ujjain, Vidisha, Siddhi, Chaibasa, Haldia, Pakur, Sahibganj, and Raxaul. This movement signals favorable conditions for the monsoon to further extend into additional regions over the next few days, including parts of North Arabian Sea, Gujarat State, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.
Weather Systems and Forecast:
- Current Weather Systems:
- A trough at mean sea level is observed off the Maharashtra-Kerala coasts.
- A cyclonic circulation persists over south Chhattisgarh in the lower and middle tropospheric levels, with a trough extending to south Maharashtra.
- Rainfall Forecast and Warnings:
- Widespread Rainfall:
- Expected over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep, and Gujarat State.
- Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal for the next five days.
- Heavy Rainfall:
- Likely in Konkan & Goa, Ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra, and Karnataka over the next five days.
- Anticipated in Gujarat Region, Saurashtra & Kutch, and Lakshadweep on June 24th; Kerala & Mahe on June 24th and 25th; and Tamil Nadu on June 24th and 25th.
- Moderate to Heavy Rainfall:
- Predicted for Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, and Chhattisgarh in the next five days, with isolated heavy rainfall in West Madhya Pradesh on June 24th and 27th; East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh on June 26th and 27th; and Vidarbha on June 27th.
- Widespread Rainfall:
- Strong Winds and Rainfall:
- Southerly/southwesterly winds from the Bay of Bengal into east & northeast India.
- Cyclonic circulation over central Rajasthan with a trough running to south Chhattisgarh, resulting in fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms and gusty winds in Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim on June 24th; Gangetic West Bengal, Uttar Pradesh from June 25th-27th; and Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha over the next five days.
Heat Wave Warning:
Despite the advancing monsoon, heat wave conditions persist in isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, and West Uttar Pradesh on June 24th and 25th, with temperatures ranging between 40-43°C in these regions. The heat wave is expected to abate after that.
Source: India Meteorological Department
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