The meteorological conditions in the Bay of Bengal are undergoing a significant shift as the cyclonic circulation over the Gulf of Thailand has now positioned itself over the South Andaman Sea, extending up to mid-tropospheric levels and tilting southwestwards with height. This atmospheric phenomenon is expected to have cascading effects, leading to the formation of a Low-Pressure Area over the Southeast Bay of Bengal within the next 24 hours. Furthermore, forecasts suggest a west-northwestward movement, with intensification into a depression over Central and adjoining South Bay of Bengal around the 16th of November 2023.
Anticipated Weather Impact:
Northeasterly Winds Over Southeast Peninsular India: Northeasterly winds from the Bay of Bengal are prevailing over Southeast Peninsular India. This prevailing weather pattern is likely to bring about the following conditions:
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Karaikal, Kerala, and Mahe (14th-16th November): Expect thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds during this period.
- Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, and Rayalaseema (13th-15th November): Thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds are forecasted.
- Isolated Heavy Rainfall: Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Karaikal can anticipate isolated heavy rainfall on the 14th and 15th of November. Kerala and Mahe may experience this on the 15th and 16th of November.
Andaman & Nicobar Islands: The islands are likely to experience light to moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall over the next 7 days. Thunderstorms and lightning at isolated places are expected on the 13th & 14th of November, with isolated heavy rainfall on the same dates.
Fishermen Warning:
- 13th November: Squally weather with wind speeds of 40-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph is expected over the Andaman Sea.
- 14th November: Squally weather is forecasted over the Southwest and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal, as well as the Andaman Sea.
- 15th & 16th November: Squally weather is anticipated over Westcentral Bay of Bengal, adjoining Eastcentral Bay of Bengal, adjoining Southwest and Southeast Bay of Bengal. Fishermen are advised not to venture into these areas during this period.
Rest of the Country:
No significant weather is expected over the rest of the country during this period. However, it is crucial for residents and authorities to stay vigilant and informed about updates from meteorological agencies as conditions may change.
Source: India Meteorological Department
