Over the past week, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has been closely monitoring a significant weather development. A Western Disturbance (WD) first made its presence felt in Jammu-Kashmir on the night of the 13th, but it has since shifted eastward and now extends along Long. 68°E. Under its influence, areas ranging from Jammu Division to the northernmost parts of Punjab are experiencing moderate to intense convection. What’s more, another WD is expected to merge with the current system, further intensifying precipitation activity over Northwest India, starting tonight on the 15th.
The Western Disturbance’s Persistent Impact
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has been closely monitoring the progression of a Western Disturbance (WD) in North India for the past week. Beginning its influence from the night of the 13th, this weather system has shown a gradual eastward movement, and its effects have been most pronounced in Jammu-Kashmir.
Current Position and Convection Patterns
As of the latest forecast, the WD now extends along Long. 68°E. Under its influence, the region has experienced moderate to intense convection. This has resulted in significant weather changes, particularly with weather patterns shifting from Jammu Division to the northernmost parts of Punjab. These changes have implications for the residents and authorities, necessitating vigilance and preparedness.
Anticipated Merger and Enhanced Precipitation Activity
IMD predicts that another WD is likely to merge with the current system. This merger is expected to amplify the precipitation activity across Northwest India, commencing from the night of the 15th. During this period, the WD is likely to exhibit maximum intensity, which could lead to heavy rainfall and snowfall, particularly in Jammu-Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
Preparing for the Intensity
As the WD reaches its peak impact, residents of Jammu-Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh should be prepared for the possibility of heavy rainfall and snowfall. These weather conditions can have far-reaching effects, including disruptions in daily life, transportation challenges, and increased risks in hilly terrains. Staying informed and adhering to local advisories is crucial during such conditions.
Changes in Neighboring Regions
It’s not just Jammu-Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh that will experience weather fluctuations. Neighboring regions are also expected to witness changes. Generally cloudy skies with very light rain or drizzle are expected today, with light rain forecasted for tomorrow. South Punjab, south Haryana, Delhi, and north Rajasthan are likely to experience these conditions. Meanwhile, North Punjab and North Haryana may receive light to moderate rainfall during the mentioned period.
The IMD’s weather forecast underscores the significance of the Western Disturbance’s influence on North India. Residents are urged to stay informed, take necessary precautions, and monitor local advisories as heavy rainfall and snowfall are expected. The well-being and safety of the public are paramount during such weather events.
