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Weather Forecast: Rainfall Warnings, Monsoon Advancements and Cyclonic Storms

Weather: As of May 27, 2024, the Southwest Monsoon has further advanced into more regions of the Southwest Bay of Bengal, Central Bay of Bengal, and Northeast Bay of Bengal. The Northern Limit of Monsoon currently stretches from 05°N/60°E to 21°N/93°E, indicating a significant progression of the monsoon.

Monsoon Advancements

The Southwest Monsoon’s reach has expanded, bringing much-needed rainfall to several parts of India. The areas affected include:

  • Kerala & Mahe
  • Lakshadweep
  • Andaman & Nicobar Islands
  • Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim
  • Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal
  • Telangana
  • Rayalaseema
  • Karnataka

These regions are expected to experience varying intensities of rainfall, accompanied by thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds reaching speeds of 30-40 kmph.

Cyclonic Circulations and Their Impact

Three cyclonic circulations are influencing the weather in India:

  1. Southwest Rajasthan
  2. Northwest Uttar Pradesh
  3. Northeast Assam

These circulations are expected to cause widespread light to moderate rainfall, with specific regions experiencing heavy rainfall on the following dates:

  • Kerala & Mahe: May 29-30
  • Uttarakhand: May 27-30
  • Gujarat State: May 27-30

Severe Cyclonic Storm “Remal”

The severe cyclonic storm “Remal,” located over the Eastcentral Bay of Bengal, has weakened into a cyclonic storm. As of this morning, it is centered near latitude 22.5°N and longitude 89.3°E, affecting regions such as Sagar Islands (West Bengal) and Mongla (Bangladesh). “Remal” is expected to move north-northeastwards and gradually weaken.

Heavy Rainfall Warnings

Significant rainfall is forecasted for various regions:

  • West Bengal: Heavy to very heavy rainfall in coastal districts and eastern Gangetic West Bengal on May 27, with peak activity expected by noon.
  • Sub-Himalayan West Bengal: Heavy rainfall on May 27-28.
  • Northeastern States: Assam, Meghalaya, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Mizoram, Manipur, and Tripura will experience heavy to very heavy rainfall on May 27-28, with isolated extremely heavy rainfall in Assam and Meghalaya on these dates.

Fishermen Warnings

Fishermen are advised to avoid the North Bay of Bengal along and off the coasts of West Bengal and Bangladesh on May 27 due to dangerous weather conditions.

Temperature Observations and Heat Wave Alerts

Recent observations show maximum temperatures exceeding 40°C in several regions, with Rajasthan recording temperatures between 47-49°C. This heatwave is expected to persist in many areas, with specific warnings issued for:

  • Rajasthan: Severe heat wave conditions
  • Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, West Uttar Pradesh: Heat wave conditions
  • Jammu Division, Himachal Pradesh, East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, West Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Gujarat State: Heat wave conditions and hot, humid weather

India’s weather is currently marked by the advancement of the Southwest Monsoon, cyclonic storm activities, and significant rainfall warnings. Regions across the country are advised to stay alert and take necessary precautions against heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, lightning, gusty winds, and severe heat wave conditions in the coming days.

Source: India Meteorological Department

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