Weather: India is currently experiencing a shift in its monsoon pattern, impacting weather conditions across various regions. The monsoon trough has moved south of its normal position, contributing to changes in rainfall distribution. Additionally, a cyclonic circulation is present over southeast Rajasthan and its neighboring areas, extending through lower and middle tropospheric levels. These systems are expected to influence the weather patterns in different parts of India over the next seven days.
Central India Forecast & Warnings
Central India is likely to see scattered to fairly widespread rainfall over the coming week. Here’s a breakdown of the expected weather conditions:
- Weather Rainfall Forecast:
Light to moderate rainfall is expected across most of Central India, with scattered occurrences throughout the week. - Heavy Rainfall Alerts:
- East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh: Heavy rainfall is anticipated between September 23rd and 25th.
- West Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha: Isolated heavy rainfall is expected on September 24th and 25th.
These conditions will bring much-needed relief from the dry spells while also raising concerns about localized flooding in some areas.
East & Northeast India Weather Forecast & Warnings
The eastern and northeastern regions of India will also experience significant rainfall, with the intensity and distribution varying across different areas:
- Rainfall Forecast:
Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall is very likely over the Andaman & Nicobar Islands, while the rest of East and Northeast India will experience scattered to fairly widespread rain. - Heavy Rainfall Alerts:
- Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Expect heavy rainfall on September 20th.
- Odisha: Heavy showers are likely on September 22nd and 23rd.
- Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura: Isolated heavy rainfall is expected from September 22nd to 25th.
- Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya: Heavy rainfall is forecasted between September 23rd and 25th.
- Hot and Humid Conditions:
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim will experience hot and humid weather on September 20th and 21st.
These regions should prepare for potential waterlogging and localized flooding in areas prone to heavy downpours.
Northwest India Forecast & Warnings
Northwest India, traditionally drier during this period, will see a mix of isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall throughout the week:
- Rainfall Forecast:
Light to moderate rainfall is expected, though the showers will be scattered in nature, bringing only temporary relief from the dry conditions.
While widespread heavy rainfall is not predicted for this region, isolated storms may occur, contributing to varied weather conditions.
West & South Peninsular India Forecast & Warnings
In West and South Peninsular India, a more consistent pattern of light to moderate rainfall is expected in several key areas:
- Rainfall Forecast:
- Konkan & Goa, Marathwada, Rayalaseema, Coastal Karnataka, and North Interior Karnataka: Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall is very likely over these areas.
- Remaining parts of West & South India: Isolated to scattered light to moderate rain will occur during the week.
This rainfall will benefit the agricultural regions and water reservoirs, but heavy downpours may cause temporary disruptions.
Impact and Precautionary Measures
This week’s weather patterns are influenced by the shifting monsoon trough and the cyclonic circulation over southeast Rajasthan. These systems will have varying effects across the country, from heavy downpours in Central India and the Northeast to scattered showers in the West and South.
Safety Tips for Affected Regions:
- Flood-Prone Areas: Be cautious of potential flooding, especially in regions forecasted to receive heavy rainfall, such as East Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and parts of Northeast India.
- Travel Advisory: Travelers should stay updated with local weather reports, especially in areas like Andaman & Nicobar Islands, where heavy rainfall is expected to disrupt transport and daily activities.
- Agricultural Concerns: Farmers in rainfall-affected areas are advised to prepare for potential crop waterlogging and take preventive measures to protect their fields.
In conclusion, the week ahead brings a variety of weather conditions across India. While some areas will benefit from the much-needed rainfall, others should prepare for potential disruptions due to heavy showers.
Source: India Meteorological Department
