Weather: The current weather systems across India indicate an active monsoon period, with various low-pressure areas and cyclonic circulations influencing widespread rainfall. The well-marked low-pressure area over interior Odisha and adjoining Chhattisgarh has shifted to a low-pressure area over north Chhattisgarh and its neighborhood. The monsoon trough is active and situated south of its normal position, expected to move northwards in the next two days.
Additionally, a shear zone lies in the lower and middle tropospheric levels along 20°N, tilting southwards with height. An off-shore trough at mean sea level persists along the South Gujarat to north Kerala coasts, while a cyclonic circulation is observed over the northeast Arabian Sea adjoining Kutch at lower levels. A Western Disturbance is present as a trough in the middle tropospheric levels with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level, roughly along longitude 70°E north of latitude 30°N. Another cyclonic circulation lies over northeast Rajasthan and its neighborhood at lower levels.
Weather Forecast & Warnings:
West, Central, East, and South Peninsular India:
- Expect fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning over the next five days.
- Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is very likely over West Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat State on July 22nd and 23rd.
- Very heavy rainfall is expected at isolated places in Chhattisgarh on July 22nd; Vidarbha on July 22nd; Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra from July 22nd to 24th; West Madhya Pradesh on July 24th; East Madhya Pradesh on July 22nd and 23rd; Gujarat State on July 24th and 25th.
- Heavy rainfall is anticipated at isolated/some places over Kerala & Mahe on July 22nd; Gangetic West Bengal on July 22nd and 23rd; Jharkhand from July 23rd to 25th; West Madhya Pradesh, Konkan & Goa, and Madhya Maharashtra on July 25th; Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh on July 23rd; East Madhya Pradesh on July 24th and 25th; and Odisha & Coastal Karnataka during the next five days.
Northwest India:
- Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over East Rajasthan, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, and Uttar Pradesh over the next five days.
- Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is expected over Uttarakhand on July 22nd.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Himachal Pradesh on July 24th and 25th; Punjab and Haryana-Chandigarh on July 22nd and 23rd; Uttar Pradesh from July 23rd to 25th; West Rajasthan from July 22nd to 24th; East Rajasthan on July 22nd, 24th, and 25th; and Jammu & Kashmir on July 23rd and 24th.
Northeast India:
- Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall accompanied by thunderstorms and lightning is very likely over Northeast India during the next five days.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is very likely over Assam & Meghalaya during the next five days; and over Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura on July 22nd and 23rd.
Residents in the affected regions are advised to stay updated with the latest weather forecasts and take necessary precautions to ensure safety and minimize disruptions due to the anticipated heavy rainfall.
Weather – Source: India Meteorological Department
