Weather: The low-pressure area over South Bangladesh and its surrounding region persists as of August 18, 2024. This system is expected to move slowly north-northwestwards, evolving into a well-marked low-pressure area by August 19. It will then likely continue its journey across Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh over the next 3-4 days, bringing significant weather changes to these regions.
Weather: Monsoon Trough and Cyclonic Circulation in Rajasthan
The western end of the Monsoon trough lies south of its normal position, while the eastern end is near its usual location, intersecting the low-pressure area. A cyclonic circulation over West Rajasthan extends up to the middle tropospheric levels, with a trough running from this circulation to the west-central Arabian Sea. This system will influence weather patterns, particularly over Northwest and West India.
Rainfall Forecast for Northwest and Central India
Northwest India, including Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Jammu-Kashmir, and Uttar Pradesh, is set to experience fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall over the next week. Isolated heavy rainfall is expected in regions such as Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, and East Rajasthan. Meanwhile, Central India, including Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, will also see significant rainfall, with heavy rain likely in select areas.
Rainfall Outlook for East, Northeast, and South Peninsular India
East India, particularly Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, and Jharkhand is forecasted to receive fairly widespread rainfall, with isolated heavy rain expected in some areas. Northeast India, including Assam, Meghalaya, and Tripura, will also see rainfall, with very heavy rainfall anticipated in certain regions. In South Peninsular India, Kerala, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu are likely to experience widespread rainfall, with heavy rain in several districts.
Source: India Meteorological Department
