Weather Systems Alert: As we enter mid-October, weather systems across India are evolving, leading to significant rainfall in various regions, especially in the southern and western parts of the country.
A fresh upper-air cyclonic circulation is expected to form over the North Andaman Sea around October 20th. This development will likely result in a low-pressure area forming over the Central Bay of Bengal by October 22nd. The system is forecasted to move northwestwards and may intensify further, affecting weather patterns in several states.
Weather Systems Alert: Forecast & Warnings (Up to 7 Days)
South Peninsular India:
South India is expected to witness considerable rainfall during the coming week. The details are as follows:
- Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep, and Karnataka will experience fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall throughout the week.
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, and Telangana are also expected to have scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall during this period.
Heavy rainfall is anticipated in specific areas:
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal will likely experience isolated heavy rainfall on October 18th, 20th, and 21st.
- South Interior Karnataka will see heavy rainfall between October 18th and 22nd.
- Kerala & Mahe are also predicted to receive isolated heavy rainfall on October 22nd and 23rd.
West India:
Western parts of India are also set to receive moderate rainfall over the next several days:
- Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra will experience scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall for the next 5 days. Following this period, isolated light to moderate showers may continue for 2 more days.
- Marathwada and Gujarat State will also experience isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall for the next 5 days, followed by isolated rainfall during the subsequent 2 days.
Additionally, isolated heavy rainfall is very likely:
- Over Saurashtra & Kutch on October 20th and 21st.
- Over the Gujarat Region on October 19th and 20th.
Northwest, East, Central & Northeast India:
In contrast, no significant rainfall is expected in these regions during the week, signaling relatively dry conditions compared to the southern and western regions.
Impact and Preparedness: Weather Systems Alert
This Weather Systems Alert highlights the need for preparedness in the affected regions, particularly in coastal areas and parts of southern India, where heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding. Farmers, fishermen, and residents in vulnerable regions are advised to take necessary precautions and stay updated with local weather reports.
This developing cyclonic circulation may impact normal life and agricultural activities, especially in states like Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala, Gujarat, and Maharashtra. The movement and intensification of the low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal will be closely monitored for further developments.
Stay tuned for real-time updates from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) and follow advisories for safety during periods of heavy rainfall.
Conclusion: Weather Systems Alert
India’s southern and western regions are poised to experience a significant weather event driven by the emerging cyclonic circulation over the Andaman Sea. With rainfall predicted to intensify from October 20th onwards, affected areas should prepare accordingly.
