As of the latest observations, a Cyclonic Circulation prevails over the Comorin area, extending into the middle tropospheric levels. Simultaneously, a Western Disturbance, forming a cyclonic circulation, is centered over Jammu and its vicinity. A trough aloft, positioned along Long. 74°E and north of Lat. 32°N characterizes the middle tropospheric levels associated with this disturbance.
Forecast & Warnings
Rainfall Projections
- Expect light to moderate rainfall in specific areas of Tamil Nadu, with a broader impact on many places in Kerala and Mahe on the 18th. Subsequently, widespread rainfall is anticipated over Lakshadweep on the 18th and 19th of December.
- Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over the southern regions of Tamil Nadu, south Kerala, and Lakshadweep on the 18th of December. Furthermore, there’s a significant probability of isolated very heavy rainfall specifically over south Tamil Nadu on the same day.
Off-Shore Winds Alert
- Brace for strong off-shore winds along and off the Gujarat Coast on the 18th of December, 2023. The wind speed is expected to reach 25-35 kmph, with gusts peaking at 45 kmph.
General Weather Outlook
- Fortunately, no significant weather events are foreseen over the remaining parts of the country during the upcoming 5-day period.
Dense Fog Warning
Be prepared for dense fog occurrences in isolated pockets over Punjab and Haryana between the 21st and 23rd of December. Additionally, dense fog is anticipated over Assam, Meghalaya, and Tripura on the 19th and 20th of December, 2023, during the morning hours.
Minimum Temperatures Forecast
Northwest India
- A drop in minimum temperatures by approximately 2°C is expected over many parts of Northwest India during the next 2 days. Subsequently, no significant change is anticipated.
Madhya Pradesh
- Anticipate a gradual fall in minimum temperatures by 2-3°C over many parts of Madhya Pradesh within the next 2 days. Similar to Northwest India, no significant change is projected thereafter.
Rest of the Country
- Fortunately, there is no significant change in minimum temperatures expected over the remaining parts of the country during the next 4-5 days. Stay informed and stay weather-ready as we navigate the dynamic weather systems and forecasts in the coming days.
Source: IMD
