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Weather Update: Cyclonic Circulation and Western Disturbance to Influence Regions Across India

A cyclonic circulation currently situated over the Southeast Arabian Sea and adjoining Lakshadweep area is anticipated to gradually move in a west-northwestward direction towards the Southeast and east-central Arabian Sea. This movement is likely to lead to the formation of a Low-Pressure Area around the east-central Arabian Sea by the 8th of November, 2023.

Expected Weather Effects:

  • South Peninsular India: Anticipate light to moderate fairly widespread to widespread rainfall over the next 3-4 days, with a subsequent decrease in rainfall.
  • Specific Areas: Isolated heavy rainfall is expected over Rayalaseema and Coastal Karnataka on the 7th, Kerala-Mahe from the 7th to the 9th, and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, and South Interior Karnataka during the 7th to the 8th of November.

Influence of Western Disturbance in Northern Regions

A Western Disturbance, manifesting as a trough in the middle tropospheric westerlies, is observed along Long. 62°E to the north of Lat. 28°N. This disturbance is expected to impact the Western Himalayan Region starting from the night of the 7th of November, 2023.

Expected Weather Effects:

  • Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad: Isolated light rainfall/snowfall is likely from the 7th to the 10th of November.
  • Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand: Anticipate light rainfall/snowfall from the 8th to the 10th of November.
  • West Rajasthan and Punjab: Isolated light rainfall is expected on the 8th & 9th and the 9th of November, 2023, respectively.

Other Anticipated Weather Patterns

  • Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Expect light to moderate scattered to fairly widespread rainfall over the next 7 days.
  • Konkan & Goa and Madhya Maharashtra: Anticipate light to moderate isolated to scattered rainfall over the next 5 days.
  • Rest of the Country: No significant weather changes are expected in other parts of the country as per current forecasts.

The meteorological information provided is based on the latest observations and forecasts. It’s essential for residents and travelers in these regions to stay updated with official weather bulletins and advisories to be prepared for potential weather changes and impacts as outlined.

Source: India Meteorological Department

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