The recent weather conditions have brought a chill to the northern parts of India, with minimum temperatures ranging from 5-10°C in areas including Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, north Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh.
Weather Systems Overview:
Two prominent weather systems are currently impacting the Indian subcontinent:
- Cyclonic Circulation: A Cyclonic Circulation prevails over the Southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Equatorial Indian Ocean in lower tropospheric levels, influencing the weather patterns in the southern regions.
- Western Disturbance: A Western Disturbance is identified as a trough in middle tropospheric levels, extending along Long. 64°E and north of Lat. 28°N. This disturbance is expected to play a key role in the upcoming weather dynamics.
Forecast & Warnings:
Rainfall Predictions (16th – 20th December):
- Southern Regions: Anticipate light to moderate rainfall at various places in Tamil Nadu, Kerala & Mahe, and Lakshadweep during this period.
- Heavy Rainfall: Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over south Tamil Nadu (16th to 19th) and Kerala (16th & 17th), with very heavy rainfall expected over specific pockets on the mentioned dates.
Snowfall and Rainfall Forecast:
- Northern Regions: Isolated rainfall/snowfall is anticipated over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-GilgitBaltistan-Muzaffarabad on the 16th & 17th, and over Himachal Pradesh on the 16th December.
Remaining Parts of the Country:
- General Weather: No significant weather changes are expected in the remaining parts of the country during the next 5 days.
Dense Fog Warning:
As we move forward, residents of Punjab and Haryana should be prepared for dense fog, likely to occur in isolated pockets during the morning hours over the next 5 days.
Minimum Temperatures Forecast:
For the northern parts of the country, including Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, north Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh, minimal fluctuations in minimum temperatures are anticipated. No significant change is expected over the next 4-5 days.
Stay informed and prepared for the diverse weather conditions that lie ahead. From rainfall predictions to the possibility of dense fog, each region faces a unique set of challenges. Keep a close eye on weather updates to ensure a safe and well-prepared response to the changing atmospheric dynamics over the next five days.
Source: India Meteorological Department