The Bay of Bengal, notorious for its climatic volatility, is currently hosting a Well Marked Low-Pressure Area that demands close monitoring. As of 15th November 2023, this weather system is positioned over Westcentral and adjacent areas of Eastcentral & South Bay of Bengal. An associated cyclonic circulation, extending up to upper tropospheric levels, has meteorologists on high alert.
Immediate Projections:
Forecasts indicate a west-northwestward movement for the system, with expectations of intensifying into a Depression within the next 6 hours over Westcentral Bay of Bengal. Following this phase, a northwestward trajectory is anticipated, potentially resulting in the system reaching Deep Depression status off the Andhra Pradesh coast on 16th November.
Subsequent Trajectory:
Beyond the 16th of November, meteorological models project a north-northeastward course for the system. By the 17th, it is predicted to reach the Northwest Bay of Bengal off the Odisha coast. This intricate journey poses challenges for coastal regions along its path, warranting precautionary measures and preparedness.
Interplay of Atmospheric Forces:
Another significant meteorological feature contributing to the evolving scenario is an upper air cyclonic circulation situated over the southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Sri Lanka. This circulation, extending up to middle-tropospheric levels, is connected to the Well Marked Low-Pressure Area through a trough in lower tropospheric levels. The interplay of these atmospheric forces adds complexity to the evolving weather patterns.
As the Well Marked Low-Pressure Area in the Bay of Bengal takes center stage, meteorologists and disaster management authorities are closely monitoring its trajectory and potential impacts. The interconnected nature of atmospheric circulations in the region underscores the need for comprehensive analysis and timely communication to facilitate preparedness and response efforts. Stay tuned for updates as meteorological agencies continue to track and predict the progression of this dynamic weather system.
Source: India Meteorological Department
