Weather: The Southwest Monsoon is expected to advance into the South Andaman Sea, parts of the Southeast Bay of Bengal, and the Nicobar Islands within the next 36 hours.
Cyclonic Circulation and Troughs
A cyclonic circulation persists over south interior Tamil Nadu and neighboring regions in the lower and mid-tropospheric levels. Additionally, troughs extend from south Chhattisgarh to south interior Karnataka, and from Marathwada to the cyclonic circulation over south interior Tamil Nadu in the lower tropospheric levels.
Rainfall and Thunderstorm Predictions
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe, Lakshadweep, and South Karnataka: Expect widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (40-50 kmph) over the next 6-7 days.
- Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Telangana, Rayalaseema: Isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) expected during the same period.
- Coastal Karnataka: Isolated heavy rainfall likely from May 19th to 22nd.
- South Interior Karnataka: Heavy rainfall expected on May 21st and 22nd.
- Lakshadweep: Heavy rainfall expected from May 19th to 21st.
- Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe: Expect isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall on May 22nd, and South Interior Karnataka on May 19th and 20th.
- Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall expected over the next 7 days, with isolated heavy rainfall in Nicobar Islands from May 20th to 22nd.
- Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathawada, Madhya Pradesh: Isolated light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) expected on May 19th.
- Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha: Isolated to scattered light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) expected over the next 7 days.
- Bihar, Jharkhand: Rainfall expected from May 19th to 23rd.
Northeast India Rainfall
A cyclonic circulation over northeast Assam is expected to bring:
- Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim: Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (40-50 kmph) over the next 7 days.
- Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura: Fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) over the next 5 days.
- Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, and Meghalaya: Isolated heavy rainfall likely during May 19th-20th, with very heavy rainfall over Meghalaya on these dates.
Western Disturbance
A new Western Disturbance, seen as a trough in the middle tropospheric westerlies along 61°E longitude and north of 28°N latitude, is expected to cause isolated light rainfall with thunderstorms and lightning over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh on May 19th, and over Uttarakhand during the next 7 days.
Surface Winds and Temperature Forecast
- Uttar Pradesh and Rajasthan: Strong surface winds (25-35 kmph) expected over the next 5 days.
- Maximum Temperatures: Expect temperatures above 40°C in many regions, with some places experiencing 43-46°C. Heat wave conditions are likely in Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, and parts of Uttar Pradesh during May 19th-22nd.
Heat Wave Warnings
- Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi: Severe heat wave conditions expected in many pockets from May 19th-22nd.
- East Uttar Pradesh: Heat wave conditions likely during the same period.
- Uttarakhand, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Jharkhand, Odisha: Heat wave conditions expected in isolated pockets during the specified dates.
- Konkan & Goa, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal: Hot and humid weather likely on May 19th-20th.
- Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Rajasthan: Warm night conditions expected on May 19th.
Stay informed and take necessary precautions to stay safe during these weather conditions.
Source: India Meteorological Department
